Model-based comparison of nuclear and renewable energy based strategies for slovenia

Končar, Mihael Boštjan (avtor), Hojkar, Domen (avtor), Drobnič, Boštjan (avtor), Sekavčnik, Mihael (avtor), Mori, Mitja (umetnik)

Decarbonising the primary energy sector is essential for achieving a sustainable electricity supply and requires a transition away from fossil fuels. Coal- and gas-fired plants are expected to remain only as strategic reserves, operating during emergencies or other critical situations. Two development strategies defined in Slovenia’s National Energy and Climate Plan are evaluated: a nuclear-based pathway and a renewable-only pathway. A zero-dimensional energy system model with hourly resolution was applied, integrating nuclear, thermal, hydro, wind, solar, and pumped hydro storage to represent projected 2040 conditions. System performance was assessed through grid stability, carbon intensity, import dependency, and spatial efficiency. The nuclear pathway provided stable baseload generation, minimised fluctuations, and reduced reliance on storage and imports. It achieved 113 kgCO₂eq/MWh with land use of 2.4 km²/TWh. The renewable-only pathway showed high variability, surpluses exceeding several gigawatts, and greater balancing needs, resulting in 148 kgCO₂eq/MWh and land use of 9.1 km²/TWh. An additional, nuclear-only variant further demonstrated that one reactor can replace several gigawatts of solar capacity while maintaining stability and reducing emissions. The results question the relevance and feasibility of renewable-only strategies and confirm the crucial role of nuclear power in ensuring secure, low-carbon electricity supply.

• Jezik: Angleški jezik
• Ključne besede: energy transition, energy system modelling, energy flows, environmental impact analysis
• Vrsta gradiva: Članek v reviji
• Tipologija: 1.01 - Izvirni znanstveni članek
• Organizacija: FS - Fakulteta za strojništvo
• Status publikacije: Objavljeno
• Različica publikacije: Objavljena publikacija
• Leto izida: 2025
• Št. strani: 5 str.
• Številčenje: Vol. 74, no. 1
• PID: 20.500.12556/RUL-175194
• UDK: 620.9:502
• ISSN pri članku: 1849-0751
• COBISS.SI-ID: 254015235
• Datum objave v RUL: 21.10.2025

Gradivo je del revije

• Naslov: Energija
• Skrajšan naslov: Energija
• Založnik: Hrvatska elektroprivreda
• ISSN: 1849-0751
• COBISS.SI-ID: 21908246

Licence

• Licenca: CC BY-NC 4.0, Creative Commons Priznanje avtorstva-Nekomercialno 4.0 Mednarodna
• Povezava: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/deed.sl
• Opis: Licenca Creative Commons, ki prepoveduje komercialno uporabo, vendar uporabniki ne rabijo upravljati materialnih avtorskih pravic na izpeljanih delih z enako licenco.

Sekundarni jezik

• Jezik: Slovenski jezik
• Ključne besede: energetski prehod, modeliranje energetskih sistemov, energijski tokovi, analize okoljskih vplivov