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Frost risk assessment in Slovenia in the period of 1981–2020
ID
Žnidaršič, Zala
(
Avtor
),
ID
Gregorič, Gregor
(
Avtor
),
ID
Sušnik, Andreja
(
Avtor
),
ID
Pogačar, Tjaša
(
Avtor
)
PDF - Predstavitvena datoteka,
prenos
(2,99 MB)
MD5: 8B3591A7718B4384EEE8987C4A7E03A4
URL - Izvorni URL, za dostop obiščite
https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/14/4/683
Galerija slik
Izvleček
As spring frost proves to be an increasing risk throughout Slovenia and Europe, a better assessment of frost risk is needed. The statistical approach presented in this article consists of the conditional probability that the last spring frost occurs before budburst or flowering. The analysis was conducted using two separate phenological models and phenological data of various grapevine (Vitis vinifera L.), apple (Malus domestica), and sweet cherry (Prunus avium L.) varieties in locations across Slovenia. The increase in risk of spring frost for grapevine ranged from 1 to 1980, from 0.06 to 12 for apple, and from 1 to 180 for sweet cherry. Overall, the varieties most prone to frost proved to be Refošk (Teran) and Merlot grapevine varieties as well as the Germersdorf sweet cherry variety. We have identified the location in the hilly region with moderate climate where the Bobovec apple variety is grown as the least exposed to frost. Although counterintuitive, the GDD generally proved somewhat more efficient than the two-phase phenological model BRIN, although not in all cases. For the purpose of the study, the phenological models were calibrated, and the model parameters can serve as invaluable information for further research of this topic.
Jezik:
Angleški jezik
Ključne besede:
phenological model
,
Slovenia
,
spring frost
,
budburst
,
flowering
,
cliamate change
,
fruit tree
Vrsta gradiva:
Članek v reviji
Tipologija:
1.01 - Izvirni znanstveni članek
Organizacija:
BF - Biotehniška fakulteta
Status publikacije:
Objavljeno
Različica publikacije:
Objavljena publikacija
Leto izida:
2023
Št. strani:
18 str.
Številčenje:
Vol. 14, iss. 4
PID:
20.500.12556/RUL-145114
UDK:
551.58
ISSN pri članku:
2073-4433
DOI:
10.3390/atmos14040683
COBISS.SI-ID:
148025347
Datum objave v RUL:
06.04.2023
Število ogledov:
473
Število prenosov:
65
Metapodatki:
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Objavi na:
Gradivo je del revije
Naslov:
Atmosphere
Skrajšan naslov:
Atmosphere
Založnik:
MDPI
ISSN:
2073-4433
COBISS.SI-ID:
522992153
Licence
Licenca:
CC BY 4.0, Creative Commons Priznanje avtorstva 4.0 Mednarodna
Povezava:
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/deed.sl
Opis:
To je standardna licenca Creative Commons, ki daje uporabnikom največ možnosti za nadaljnjo uporabo dela, pri čemer morajo navesti avtorja.
Sekundarni jezik
Jezik:
Slovenski jezik
Ključne besede:
fenološki model
,
fenologija
,
Slovenija
,
pomladna zmrzal
,
cvetenje
,
brstenje
,
klimatske spremembe
,
sadno drevje
Projekti
Financer:
ARRS - Agencija za raziskovalno dejavnost Republike Slovenije
Številka projekta:
P4-0085
Naslov:
Agroekosistemi
Financer:
ARRS - Agencija za raziskovalno dejavnost Republike Slovenije
Program financ.:
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