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Interannual variability of European beech spring phenology across elevation gradients derived from Sentinel-2 time series
ID Potočnik Buhvald, Ana (Author), ID Oštir, Krištof (Author), ID Skudnik, Mitja (Author)

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Abstract
Spring phenology of temperate deciduous forests is highly sensitive to interannual temperature variability, particularly in mountainous regions where strong elevational gradients create pronounced spatial differences in thermal forcing. In this study, we use dense Sentinel-2 time series to quantify start-of-season (SOS) dynamics of European beech across Slovenia between 2018 and 2021 and compare satellite-derived phenology with in situ observations from the Slovenian National Phenological Network. Satellite-derived SOS estimates showed moderate agreement with in situ phenological observations. Spring onset showed a clear elevational gradient, with SOS delayed by approximately 2.5–2.8 days per 100 m increase in elevation, consistent with temperature-related differences in spring thermal accumulation across the mountain landscape. Interannual variability was substantial, with a 16.9-day difference in national mean SOS between 2018 and 2021. Spatial patterns of phenological shifts reflected contrasting spring thermal conditions, suggesting a close association between SOS variability and April temperature during the 2018–2021 study period. These results highlight the short-term temperature-associated variability of European beech spring phenology and demonstrate the potential of high-resolution satellite time series to quantify canopy-level phenological patterns in topographically complex landscapes.

Language:English
Keywords:fagus sylvatica, land surface phenology, red-edge vegetation indices, IRECI, mountainous forests, thermal forcing, in situ observations
Work type:Article
Typology:1.01 - Original Scientific Article
Organization:FGG - Faculty of Civil and Geodetic Engineering
Publication status:Published
Publication version:Version of Record
Year:2026
Number of pages:14 str.
Numbering:Vol. 97, art. 103934
PID:20.500.12556/RUL-185218 This link opens in a new window
UDC:551.506.8:581.54(497.4)
ISSN on article:1878-0512
DOI:10.1016/j.ecoinf.2026.103934 This link opens in a new window
COBISS.SI-ID:286243843 This link opens in a new window
Publication date in RUL:29.07.2026
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Downloads:48
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Record is a part of a journal

Title:Ecological informatics
Publisher:Elsevier
ISSN:1878-0512
COBISS.SI-ID:62725635 This link opens in a new window

Licences

License:CC BY 4.0, Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
Link:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Description:This is the standard Creative Commons license that gives others maximum freedom to do what they want with the work as long as they credit the author.

Secondary language

Language:Slovenian
Keywords:fagus sylvatica, fenologija kopenskega površja, vegetacijski indeksi rdečega roba, IRECI, gorski gozdovi, temperaturni vpliv, opazovanja in situ

Projects

Funder:ARIS - Slovenian Research and Innovation Agency
Project number:J4-70160
Name:Dinamika odpornosti smrekovo-jelovo-bukovih gozdov na okoljske in kompeticijske stresorje - READY

Funder:ARIS - Slovenian Research and Innovation Agency
Project number:P2-0406
Name:Opazovanje Zemlje in geoinformatika

Funder:ARIS - Slovenian Research and Innovation Agency
Project number:P4-0107
Name:Gozdna biologija, ekologija in tehnologija

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