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Napovedovanje izida vaterpolo tekme z uporabo strojnega učenja
ID ŽNIDAR, JAŠA (Author), ID Meden, Blaž (Mentor) More about this mentor... This link opens in a new window

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Abstract
V diplomskem delu je obravnavan problem napovedovanja izida vaterpolskih tekem z uporabo metod strojnega učenja. Vaterpolo je v primerjavi z drugimi ekipnimi športi na področju športne analitike razmeroma slabo raziskan, kljub razpoložljivosti statističnih podatkov o tekmah. V delu so bili z uporabo spletnega strganja podatkov pridobljeni statistični podatki o igralcih in tekmah s portala Total Waterpolo ter ustrezno pripravljeni za analizo. Na tako pripravljenih podatkih smo preizkusili več metod strojnega učenja, med drugim KNN, SVM, odločitvena drevesa, Random forest, Gradient boost in nevronske mreže. Rezultate posameznih metod smo primerjali glede na natančnost napovedovanja in analizirali njihovo primernost za napovedovanje izidov vaterpolskih tekem. Za najboljšo se je izkazala metoda odločitvenih dreves Random forest.

Language:Slovenian
Keywords:vaterpolo, napovedovanje športnih rezultatov, strojno učenje, nevronske mreže, nevronske mreže z grafi
Work type:Bachelor thesis/paper
Typology:2.11 - Undergraduate Thesis
Organization:FRI - Faculty of Computer and Information Science
Year:2026
PID:20.500.12556/RUL-182659 This link opens in a new window
COBISS.SI-ID:279959043 This link opens in a new window
Publication date in RUL:20.05.2026
Views:272
Downloads:115
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Secondary language

Language:English
Title:Predicting the outcome of a water polo match using machine learning
Abstract:
This thesis addresses the problem of predicting the outcome of water polo matches using machine learning methods. Compared to other team sports, water polo remains relatively underexplored in the field of sports analytics despite the availability of detailed match statistics. Data about players and matches were collected from the Total Waterpolo platform using web scraping techniques and subsequently processed for analysis. Several machine learning methods were evaluated, including KNN, SVM, decision trees, Random forest, Gradient boost, and neural networks. The performance of these models was compared, based on prediction accuracy, and their suitability for predicting the outcome of water polo matches. Of these methods the decision tree method Random forest proved to be the best.

Keywords:waterpolo, predicting sport match result, machine learning, neural networks, neural networks with graphs

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