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Vpliv časovnega horizonta v portfeljski teoriji : delo diplomskega seminarja
ID Artnak, Živa (Author), ID Istenič, Tanja (Mentor) More about this mentor... This link opens in a new window, ID Toman, Aleš (Comentor)

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Abstract
V diplomskem seminarju smo obravnavali moderno portfeljsko teorijo Harryja Markowitza, ki ponuja matematični okvir za učinkovito investiranje. Delo pojasnjuje temeljne koncepte, kot so diverzifikacija, pričakovani donos, volatilnost in korelacija. Posebej smo se osredotočili na določanje optimalnih deležev tveganih in netveganih instrumentov v portfelju. Glavni del naloge predstavlja empirična analiza, v kateri smo na realnih tržnih podatkih preučevali vpliv časovnega horizonta na sestavo portfelja. Ugotovili smo, da se izračunani optimalni deleži bistveno razlikujejo, če temeljijo na mesečnih v primerjavi z letnimi podatki. To poudarja, da je izbira ustreznih podatkov za izračun ključna za uspešnost naložbene strategije in doseganje naložbenih ciljev.

Language:Slovenian
Keywords:portfeljska teorija, Markowitzev model, diverzifikacija, volatilnost, pričakovani donos, časovni horizont, finančni trgi, empirična analiza
Work type:Final seminar paper
Typology:2.11 - Undergraduate Thesis
Organization:FMF - Faculty of Mathematics and Physics
Year:2025
PID:20.500.12556/RUL-173233 This link opens in a new window
UDC:519.8
COBISS.SI-ID:249897731 This link opens in a new window
Publication date in RUL:14.09.2025
Views:168
Downloads:29
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Secondary language

Language:English
Title:The impact of time horizon in portfolio theory
Abstract:
In this thesis, we discussed Harry Markowitz's modern portfolio theory, which provides a mathematical framework for effective investing. The thesis explains basic concepts such as diversification, expected return, volatility, and correlation. We focused in particular on determining the optimal proportions of risky and risk-free instruments in a portfolio. The main part of the thesis is an empirical analysis in which we used real market data to examine the impact of time horizon on portfolio composition. We found that the optimal proportions differ significantly when based on monthly data compared to annual data. This emphasizes that the selection of appropriate data for calculation is crucial for the success of an investment strategy and the achievement of investment goals.

Keywords:portfolio theory, Markowitz model, diversification, volatility, expected return, time horizon, financial markets, empirical analysis

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