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Investigation of rain-on-snow floods under climate change
Sezen, Cenk (Author), Šraj, Mojca (Author), Medved, Anže (Author), Bezak, Nejc (Author)

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Abstract
Rain-on-snow (ROS) floods can cause economic damage and endanger human lives due to the compound effect of rainfall and snowmelt, especially under climate change. In this study, possible future changes of seasonality, magnitude and frequency characteristics of ROS floods were investigated for the selected catchments in Slovenia, Europe. For this purpose, five global/regional climate models (GCM/RCM) combinations were applied using the RCP4.5 climate scenario for the period 1981-2100. To determine ROS floods characteristics in the future, a lumped conceptual hydrological model Génie Rural à 6 paramètres Journalier (GR6J) with snow module CemaNeige was applied. The results indicate that the number of ROS floods could increase in the future. Moreover, also the magnitudes of extreme ROS floods could increase, while a slight decrease in the median values of ROS flood magnitudes was observed. The strength of seasonality for a high-altitude catchment could decrease in the future. A slight shift in the average ROS floods timing could be expected. Furthermore, a catchment located in a temperate continental climate could have a different response to the climate change impact in comparison to a catchment located in a mountain climate with alpine characteristics. Additionally, differences among investigated climate models show a large variability.

Language:English
Keywords:rain-on-snow floods, climate change, hydrological modelling, peak discharges, lumped model, compound events
Work type:Scientific work (r2)
Tipology:1.01 - Original Scientific Article
Organization:FGG - Faculty of Civil and Geodetic Engineering
Year:2020
Number of pages:Str. 1-12
Numbering:Letn. 10, št. 4
UDC:556.5(497.4)
ISSN on article:2076-3417
DOI:10.3390/app10041242 This link opens in a new window
COBISS.SI-ID:9083745 This link opens in a new window
Views:359
Downloads:327
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Record is a part of a journal

Title:Applied sciences
Shortened title:Appl. sci.
Publisher:MDPI
ISSN:2076-3417
COBISS.SI-ID:522979353 This link opens in a new window

Document is financed by a project

Funder:ARRS - Agencija za raziskovalno dejavnost Republike Slovenije (ARRS)
Project no.:P2-0180
Name:Vodarstvo in geotehnika: orodja in metode za analize in simulacije procesov ter razvoj tehnologij.

Licences

License:CC BY-NC-ND 4.0, Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International
Link:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Description:The most restrictive Creative Commons license. This only allows people to download and share the work for no commercial gain and for no other purposes.
Licensing start date:13.02.2020

Secondary language

Language:Slovenian
Keywords:hidrologija, poplave, klimatske spremembe, hidrološko modeliranje, konice pretokov, enovit modeli, sestavljeni dogodki

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