Geografsko obtežena regresijska analiza selitev in delovne mobilnosti v Sloveniji v obdobju 2000–2013 : magistrsko delo

Kotar, Ksenija (author), Drobne, Samo (mentor)

V magistrskem delu analiziramo priselitvene tokove in prihodne tokove delovne mobilnosti v Sloveniji. Analizo smo izvedli z dvema regresijskima metodama za obdobje trinajstih let, med leti 2000 in 2013. Z globalno metodo OLS smo ocenili vpliv neodvisnih spremenljivk na priselitvene tokove in prihodne tokove delovne mobilnosti v modelu za celotno državo, z lokalno metodo GOR pa smo ocenili vpliv neodvisnih spremenljivk v posamezni občini. Prihodne tokove delovne mobilnosti obravnavamo kot nadomestek za priselitvene tokove. Rezultate obeh analiz smo posebej za posamezno pojasnjevalno spremenljivko primerjali med seboj. Pri globalni metodi OLS smo rezultate primerjali med zaporednimi leti od 2000 do 2013, pri lokalni metodi GOR pa smo pri priselitvenih tokovih med seboj primerjali lokalne modele med leti 2004 in 2007, pri tokovih delovne mobilnosti pa lokalne modele za obdobje pred, med in po samem vrhu gospodarske krize v Sloveniji. Rezultati so za lažje razumevanje zbrani v preglednicah ter prikazani s kartografskimi prikazi. Ugotovili smo, da je Ljubljana skozi celotno obravnavano obdobje pomembno regionalno središče, saj privlači prihodne tokove delovne mobilnosti, posledično pa v njeno okolico privlači priselitvene tokove.

• Language: Slovenian
• Keywords: selitev, delovna mobilnost, globalna metoda, lokalna metoda, OLS, GOR, občina, Slovenija, regionalno središče
• Work type: Master's thesis/paper
• Typology: 2.09 - Master's Thesis
• Organization: FGG - Faculty of Civil and Geodetic Engineering
• Publisher: [K. Kotar]
• Year: 2017
• PID: 20.500.12556/RUL-96476
• UDC: 331.556:711.2(497.4)(043.3)
• COBISS.SI-ID: 8210273
• Publication date in RUL: 02.10.2017

Secondary language

• Language: English
• Title: Geographically weighted regression analysis of migration and commuting flows of Slovenia in 2000–2013 : Master thesis

Abstract

In the master's thesis, immigration flows and incoming commuting flows in Slovenia are analysed. Analysis was performed using two regression methods for the period of thirteen years between 2000 and 2013. We estimated influence of independent variables to immigration flows and influence to incoming commuting flows for the whole country using global method OLS. Using local method GWR, we estimated influence of independent variables in each local community. Incoming commuting flows are treated as substitute for immigration flows. The results of both analyses were compared for each explanatory variable. The results of global method OLS were compared between consecutive years 2000 and 2013. But with local method GWR, immigration flows were compared between years 2004 and 2007, and incoming commuting flows between years before, during and after the economic crisis in Slovenia. In order to assure a more thorough explanation of results, tables and graphical display are included. We concluded that Ljubljana is an important regional centre throughout the period under review. It attracts incoming commuting flows, and consequently attracts immigration flows to its surroundings.

• Keywords: migration, commuting flow, global method, local method, OLS, GWR, local community, Slovenia, regional centre