Predicted changes in energy demands for heating and cooling due to climate change

Dolinar, Mojca (author), Vidrih, Boris (author), Kajfež-Bogataj, Lučka (author), Medved, Sašo (author)

In the last 3 years in Slovenia we experienced extremely hot summers andThe results show that energy use for heating would decrease from 16% to 25% (depends on the intensity of warming) in subalpine region, while in Mediterranean region the rate of change would not be significant. In summer time we would need up to six times more energy for cooling in subalpine regionand approximately two times more in Mediterranean region. low-energy building proved to be very economical in wintertime while on average higher energy consumption for cooling is expected in those buildings in summertime. In case of significant warmer and more solar energy intensive climate, the good isolated buildings are more efficient than standard buildings. TRY provednot to be efficient for studying extreme conditions like installed powerof the cooling system. demand for cooling the buildings have risen significantly. Since climate change scenarios predict higher temperatures for the whole country and for allseasons, we expect that energy demand for heating would decrease while demand for cooling would increase. An analysis for building with permitted energy demand and for low-energy demand building in two typical urban climatesin Slovenia was performed. The transient systems simulation program (TRNSYS) was used for simulation of the indoor conditions and the energy use for heating and cooling. Climate change scenarios were presented in form of "future" Test Reference Years (TRY). The time series of hourly data for all meteorological variables for different scenarios were chosen from actual measurements, using the method of highest likelihood. The climate change scenarios predicted temperature rise (+1 °C and +3 °C) and solar radiation increase (+3% and +6%). With the selection of these scenarios we covered the spectra of possible predicted climate changes in Slovenia.

• Language: English
• Keywords: klimatske spremembe, podnebje, vreme, energija, potreba po energiji, hlajenje, ogrevanje, climate change, energy demand, energija, cooling, heating, climate variability
• Work type: Not categorized
• Typology: 1.08 - Published Scientific Conference Contribution
• Organization: BF - Biotechnical Faculty
• Year: 2010
• Number of pages: Str. 100-106
• Numbering: Vol. 35, No. 1-2
• PID: 20.500.12556/RUL-36283
• UDC: 551.58
• ISSN on article: 1474-7065
• DOI: 10.1016/j.pce.2010.03.003
• COBISS.SI-ID: 6269049
• Publication date in RUL: 10.07.2015

Record is a part of a proceedings

• Title: Bio-, agro, and urban climatology
• COBISS.SI-ID: 6283385

Record is a part of a journal

• Title: Physics and chemistry of the earth
• Shortened title: Phys. chem. earth
• Publisher: Elsevier Science
• ISSN: 1474-7065
• COBISS.SI-ID: 962901