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Razširljivo statistično sklepanje z dvojnim bootstrapom
ID Hudobreznik, Enej (Author), ID Štrumbelj, Erik (Mentor) More about this mentor... This link opens in a new window

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Abstract
V diplomskem delu razvijemo knjižnico bootstrap-inference za programski jezik Python, ki ponuja razširljivo implementacijo metod sklepanja bootstrap s poudarkom na dvojnih percentilnih intervalih zaupanja. Knjižnica podpira tudi percentilne intervale zaupanja, ocenjevanje pristranskosti in variance, uporabniško definirane statistike, alternativne sheme ponovnega vzorčenja, vzporedno izvajanje na več procesorskih jedrih in ponovljivost rezultatov. Pravilnost implementacije dvojnih percentilnih intervalov preverimo s simulacijsko študijo, v kateri našo implementacijo primerjamo z referenčno implementacijo v knjižnici bootstrap-ci. Pri obravnavanih porazdelitvah, statističnih funkcionalih in velikostih vzorca se implementaciji glede verjetnosti pokritja dobro ujemata. Uporabnost razvite knjižnice dodatno utemeljimo s simulacijsko študijo na sintetičnih hierarhičnih podatkih, v kateri primerjamo pokritje različnih metod za konstrukcijo intervalov zaupanja ob kršitvi predpostavke normalnosti porazdelitve naključnih vplivov. Ob odstopanju od normalnosti ima neparametrična percentilna metoda pri standardnih odklonih naključnih vplivov boljše pokritje od parametričnih metod, dvojni bootstrap pa pokritja neparametrične percentilne metode ne izboljša vedno.

Language:Slovenian
Keywords:Bootstrap, Dvojni bootstrap, Intervali zaupanja, Simulacijska študija, Hierarhični podatki, Python
Work type:Bachelor thesis/paper
Organization:FRI - Faculty of Computer and Information Science
Year:2026
PID:20.500.12556/RUL-187571 This link opens in a new window
Publication date in RUL:11.09.2026
Views:35
Downloads:17
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Secondary language

Language:English
Title:Extensible statistical inference using the double bootstrap
Abstract:
In this undergraduate thesis, we develop the bootstrap-inference library for the Python programming language, which provides an extensible implementation of bootstrap inference methods with an emphasis on double-percentile confidence intervals. The library also supports percentile confidence intervals, estimation of bias and variance, user-defined statistics, alternative resampling schemes, parallel execution across multiple CPU cores, and reproducibility of results. We verify the correctness of the implementation of double-percentile confidence intervals through a simulation study in which we compare our implementation with the reference implementation provided by the bootstrap-ci library. Across the considered distributions, statistical functionals, and sample sizes, the two implementations agree closely in terms of coverage probability. We further demonstrate the applicability of the developed library through a simulation study on synthetic hierarchical data, in which we compare the coverage of different confidence interval procedures under violations of the normality assumption for the distribution of random effects. Under departures from normality, the nonparametric percentile method achieves better coverage for the standard deviations of the random effects than the parametric methods. The double bootstrap, however, does not always improve the coverage of the nonparametric percentile method.

Keywords:Bootstrap, Double bootstrap, Confidence intervals, Simulation study, Hierarchical data, Python

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