Archaeological surface survey is among the key research tools for obtaining information on the number, locations, and nature of sites within a landscape. However, its effectiveness is influenced by a range of factors; without studying and understanding these factors, the reliability of the method and the data it produces cannot be adequately evaluated. Such an examination is possible either through the inclusion of control experiments or by conducting very intensive surveys of control areas within survey projects. The latter approach is enabled by data from surveys carried out on Slovenian motorways, which were conducted in two phases: extensive and intensive. The results of the intensive phase, specifically the intensive surface survey, are used in this paper to evaluate the effects of surface and subsurface survey methods, as well as the properties of cultural material in the topsoil, on the effectiveness of detection in the Slovenian environment. The key findings can be summarised as follows: (1) The effectiveness of detecting material in the topsoil is significantly influenced by the densities at which such material is usually present under the cultural and natural conditions of Slovenia. (2) Detection is unlikely with an extensive subsurface survey. (3) Detection is not very likely with an intensive subsurface survey. (4) Detection is possible using an extensive surface survey strategy, although with limited effectiveness. Overall, it can be expected that at least 25% of all sites with archaeological material in the topsoil will remain undiscovered; depending on the period, type of material, and its density, this estimate may be significantly higher. In general, the discovered material represents only a 3% sample of the surface population or a 0.2% sample of the population in the topsoil. Consequently, every positive result is important, while negative results can be understood exclusively as an absence of data rather than evidence of absence. The overall informativeness of the results is therefore very limited.
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