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Supervarovanje ameriških opcij : delo diplomskega seminarja
ID Rozman, Maks (Author), ID Perman, Mihael (Mentor) More about this mentor... This link opens in a new window

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Abstract
V diplomski nalogi se ukvarjamo s težavo varovanja ameriških opcij. Za razliko od evropskih opcij, ki jih lahko repliciramo, ameriških zaradi možnosti zgodnje izvršitve v splošnem ne moremo, zato je treba poiskati alternativen način za varovanje naše pozicije. Z uporabo supermartingalov, Snellove ovojnice in Doobovega razcepa dokažemo izrek, ki omogoča iskanje pravične začetne cene, strategije varovanja in optimalnega časa ustavljanja. Na koncu na primeru z uporabo dinamičnega programiranja na nepolnem trgu sestavimo portfelj, ki se samofinancira in učinkovito ščiti pred tveganjem. To pomeni, da minimizira verjetnost, da v nekem scenariju ne bomo sposobni poravnati svojih obveznosti.

Language:Slovenian
Keywords:supermartingali, opcije, pravična cena, supervarovanje
Work type:Final seminar paper
Typology:2.11 - Undergraduate Thesis
Organization:FMF - Faculty of Mathematics and Physics
Year:2025
PID:20.500.12556/RUL-173619 This link opens in a new window
UDC:519.8
COBISS.SI-ID:250609155 This link opens in a new window
Publication date in RUL:19.09.2025
Views:427
Downloads:118
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Secondary language

Language:English
Title:Superhedging of American options
Abstract:
In this thesis, we address the problem of hedging American options. Unlike European options, which can be replicated, American options generally cannot be replicated due to the possibility of early exercise. Therefore, an alternative method for hedging our position must be found. Using supermartingales, the Snell envelope and Doob's decomposition, we prove a theorem that allows for the determination of the fair initial price, the hedging strategy, and the optimal stopping time. Finally, through an example using dynamic programming, we construct a self-financing portfolio that effectively protects against risk in incomplete markets. This means it minimizes the probability that we will be unable to meet our obligations in a given scenario.

Keywords:supermartingales, options, arbitrage price, superhedging

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