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Analiza ritmičnosti prometnih nesreč
ID Skitek, Hana (Author), ID Moškon, Miha (Mentor) More about this mentor... This link opens in a new window

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Abstract
Prometne nesreče so kompleksen pojav, na katerega vplivajo številni dejavniki. Namen diplomske naloge je bil analizirati ritmičnost prometnih nesreč v Sloveniji z uporabo metode cosinor, ki omogoča zaznavanje in kvantifikacijo periodičnih vzorcev v podatkih. Analiza je bila izvedena na javno dostopnih podatkih Uprave Republike Slovenije za zaščito in reševanje, zajetih med letoma 2010 in 2023. Preučevali smo splošni dnevni ritem prometnih nesreč ter razlike med delavniki in vikendi, letnimi časi, vremenskimi pogoji (dež, lepo vreme) ter Luninimi menami. Rezultati so pokazali izrazit cirkadiani ritem (tj. ritem s periodo 24 ur), pri čemer se vrh nesreč najpogosteje pojavlja v času popoldanskih prometnih konic. Med delavniki sta prisotna dva vrhova (jutranji in popoldanski), med vikendi pa le popoldanski. Poleti je bilo zabeleženih največ nesreč, pozimi pa najmanj. Dež je premaknil vrh nesreč proti večeru, medtem ko Lunine mene niso bistveno vplivale na pogostost prometnih nesreč, temveč le na njihovo časovno porazdelitev. Ugotovitve ponujajo nove vpoglede v razumevanje prometne varnosti in možnost za ciljno usmerjene preventivne ukrepe.

Language:Slovenian
Keywords:prometne nesreče, ritmičnost, cosinor, cirkadiani ritem, CosinorPy
Work type:Bachelor thesis/paper
Typology:2.11 - Undergraduate Thesis
Organization:FRI - Faculty of Computer and Information Science
Year:2025
PID:20.500.12556/RUL-172515 This link opens in a new window
COBISS.SI-ID:248686339 This link opens in a new window
Publication date in RUL:08.09.2025
Views:321
Downloads:92
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Secondary language

Language:English
Title:Rhythmicity analysis of traffic accidents
Abstract:
Traffic accidents are a complex phenomenon influenced by numerous factors. The aim of this thesis was to analyze the rhythmicity of traffic accidents in Slovenia using cosinor analysis, which enables the detection and quantification of periodic patterns in data. The analysis was conducted on publicly available data from the Administration of the Republic of Slovenia for Civil Protection and Disaster Relief, covering the period between 2010 and 2023. We examined the general daily rhythm of traffic accidents as well as differences between weekdays and weekends, seasons, weather conditions (rain, fair weather), and Lunar phases. The results revealed a pronounced circadian rhythm (i.e. a rhythm with a 24-hour period), with the peak in accidents most frequently occurring during afternoon rush hours. On weekdays, two peaks were observed (morning and afternoon), while weekends showed only one (afternoon). The highest number of accidents was recorded in summer and the lowest in winter. Rain shifted the peak of accidents towards the evening, whereas Lunar phases did not significantly affect the frequency of accidents, but rather their temporal distribution. These findings provide new insights into understanding traffic safety and highlight opportunities for targeted preventive measures.

Keywords:traffic accidents, rhythmicity, cosinor, circadian rhythm, CosinorPy

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