Cross-border cascading hazard scenarios and vulnerability assessment of levees and bridges in the Sava river basin

Rak, Gašper (author), Novak, Gorazd (author), Četina, Matjaž (author), Kosič, Mirko (author), Anžlin, Andrej (author), Rossi, Nicola (author), Kovačević, Meho Saša (author), Bacic, Mario (author)

This study investigates cross-border cascading hazards and infrastructure vulnerabilities in the Sava River Basin, a seismically active and flood-prone region spanning the Slovenia–Croatia border. Conducted within the CROSScade project, the research focuses on assessing cross-border hazards and the vulnerabilities of levees and bridges. Key earthquake and flood scenarios were identified using advanced hydraulic and seismic modelling, forming the basis for evaluating the cascading effects of these events, including the potential failure of hydropower plants and associated flood protection systems. The analysis reveals that levees are particularly vulnerable to failure during the recession phase of flooding that follows an earthquake. At the same time, bridges are primarily affected by seismic loading, with minimal structural impact from flood forces. These findings underscore the pressing need for enhanced cross-border collaboration, updated design standards, and the reinforcement of critical infrastructure. The study provides essential insights for multi-hazard resilience planning and emphasises the importance of integrated risk assessments in managing cascading disaster impacts across national boundaries.

• Language: English
• Keywords: cross-border risk, Sava river basin, seismic and flood scenarios, critical infrastructure, cascading hazards, vulnerability
• Work type: Article
• Typology: 1.01 - Original Scientific Article
• Organization: FGG - Faculty of Civil and Geodetic Engineering
• Publication status: Published
• Publication version: Author Accepted Manuscript
• Year: 2025
• Number of pages: 31 str.
• Numbering: Vol. 10, iss. 8, art. 214
• PID: 20.500.12556/RUL-171743
• UDC: 502/504:556(497.4)(497.5)
• ISSN on article: 2412-3811
• DOI: 10.3390/infrastructures10080214
• COBISS.SI-ID: 247192579
• Publication date in RUL: 01.09.2025

Record is a part of a journal

• Title: Infrastructures
• Shortened title: Infrastructures
• Publisher: MDPI AG
• ISSN: 2412-3811
• COBISS.SI-ID: 526777369

Licences

• License: CC BY 4.0, Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
• Link: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
• Description: This is the standard Creative Commons license that gives others maximum freedom to do what they want with the work as long as they credit the author.

Secondary language

• Language: Slovenian
• Keywords: čezmejna tveganja, porečje reke Save, potresno-poplavni scenariji, kritična infrastruktura, okoljska tveganja, ranljivost