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Realne opcije : delo diplomskega seminarja
ID Kremžar, Matic (Author), ID Košir, Tomaž (Mentor) More about this mentor... This link opens in a new window

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Abstract
V delu diplomskega seminarja se bom ukvarjal z uvajanjem koncepta realnih opcij v kapitalsko načrtovanje. S pomočjo teorije vrednotenja opcij bom dopolnil najosnovnejšo metodo diskontiranih denarnih tokov (DCF), ki se uporablja za vrednotenje kapitalskih projektov, in pokazal nekatere njene pomanjkljivosti. Preko Wienerjevega procesa in Itove stohastične analize bom izpeljal Black-Scholesov model za vrednotenje opcij. Izpeljal bom tudi Margrabeovo formulo. Kvalitativno bom analiziral kapitalske projekte v prostoru opcij. Realne opcije bom prikazal tudi na zanimivem primeru iz prakse. Na koncu bom izpostavil omejitve izpeljanega modela za vrednotenje realnih opcij.

Language:Slovenian
Keywords:realne opcije, diskontirani denarni tokovi, Black–Scholesov model, Margrabeova formula, stohastični procesi, Arundel Partners
Work type:Final seminar paper
Typology:2.11 - Undergraduate Thesis
Organization:FMF - Faculty of Mathematics and Physics
Year:2025
PID:20.500.12556/RUL-171533 This link opens in a new window
UDC:519.2
COBISS.SI-ID:246875907 This link opens in a new window
Publication date in RUL:28.08.2025
Views:548
Downloads:177
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Secondary language

Language:English
Title:Real options
Abstract:
In this diploma seminar work, I will introduce the concept of real options into capital planning. Using option valuation theory, I will extend the basic discounted cash flow (DCF) method, which is commonly used to evaluate capital projects, and highlight some of its limitations. Through the Wiener process and Itô stochastic calculus, I will derive the Black–Scholes model for option valuation. I will also derive Margrabe’s formula. Furthermore, I will qualitatively analyze capital projects within the real option space. Real options will also be illustrated with an interesting real-world example. In the conclusion, I will point out the limitations of the derived model for valuing real options.

Keywords:real options, discounted cash flows, Black–Scholes model, Margrabe formula, stochastic processes, Arundel Partners

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