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Stohastični modeli za kreditno tveganje : magistrsko delo
ID Rozman, David (Author), ID Perman, Mihael (Mentor) More about this mentor... This link opens in a new window

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Abstract
V delu predstavimo modele za vrednotenje tveganih brezkuponskih obveznic in izmenjavo kreditnega tveganja. Obravnavamo Mertonov model, ki poveže dogodek propada z vrednostjo podjetja. Za analizo kreditnega tveganja je uporabna hazardna funkcija. Uporabimo jo za izpeljavo cen brezkuponskih obveznic z različnimi tipi izplačil. Za izpeljavo formul za vrednotenje kompleksnejših finančnih inštrumentov moramo vpeljati nekaj teoretičnih rezultatov o martingalih. Z njimi dobimo formule za vrednotenje splošnih tveganih terjatev, med katere spada izmenjava kreditnega tveganja, katere ceno analiziramo v primeru enega ali več posojil. Podrobno analiziramo ceno in njeno dinamiko ter predstavimo replikativne strategije.

Language:Slovenian
Keywords:Kreditno tveganje, martingali, modeliranje
Work type:Master's thesis/paper
Typology:2.09 - Master's Thesis
Organization:FMF - Faculty of Mathematics and Physics
Year:2025
PID:20.500.12556/RUL-169170 This link opens in a new window
UDC:519.8
COBISS.SI-ID:235705347 This link opens in a new window
Publication date in RUL:16.05.2025
Views:520
Downloads:134
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Secondary language

Language:English
Title:Stochastic models for credit risk
Abstract:
In this thesis we present models for pricing of defaultable zero-coupon bonds and credit default swaps. We analyze Merton's model, where the default event depends on the firm's value. Furthermore, we explore the role of hazard function in credit risk assessment. We use it to derive pricing formulas for defaultable zero-coupon bonds with various payoffs. In order to derive pricing formulas for more complex securities, we introduce some theoretical results regarding martingales. They allow us to evaluate general defaultable claims, including credit default swaps. We examine their pricing for single and multiple loans and discuss replicating strategies.

Keywords:Credit risk, martingales, modeling

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