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Analiza alternativnih elektroenergetskih konceptov za Slovenijo z vidika trajnostnega razvoja
ID Damijan, Jože (Author), ID Babič, Drago (Author)

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Abstract
Članek prinaša dva glavna izvirna prispevka. Prvi prispevek je kvantitativna opredelitev potrebnega obsega električne energije za potrebe razvojne dinamike, s katero bi Slovenija do leta 2050 dosegla sedanjo raven razvitih držav EU, in za potrebe energetskega prehoda. Analiza kaže, da naj bi se skupna poraba električne energije med letoma 2025 in 2050 zaradi zagotavljanja ustrezne ravni blaginje in zaradi energetskega prehoda podvojila. Drugi prispevek članka je v opredelitvi optimalnega elektroenergetskega sistema Slovenije, ki bi hkrati zagotovil realizacijo obeh ciljev in zadostil ključnim kriterijem. V članku primernost treh alternativnih elektroenergetskih sistemov (NEPN OVE, NEPN OVE + jedrska, SAZU-GZS) presojamo iz petih vidikov. Ugotavljamo, da je koncept SAZU-GZS superioren po vseh petih kriterijih, in sicer glede (1) zadostnega obsega električne energije, (2) strateške avtonomije Slovenije pri električni energiji, (3) za polovico nižjih potrebnih investicij na enoto proizvedene električne energije, (4) za polovico nižje stroškovne cene električne energije, (5) razogljičenja proizvodnje in porabe električne energije v Sloveniji. Na podlagi tega ugotavljamo, da je za potrebe trajnostnega razvoja pomembna prava kombinacija nizkoogljičnih virov (primarno jedrska in hidro energija ter dopolnilno OVE viri sonca in vetra) in hranilnikov energije, medtem ko so energetski koncepti zgolj na osnovi OVE virov tehnično nevzdržni in/ali zahtevajo bistveno višje investicije, hkrati pa ne vodijo k realizaciji podnebnih ciljev glede razogljičenja. Te ugotovitve so v skladu z ugotovitvami v literaturi s tega področja.

Language:Slovenian
Keywords:alternativni koncepti, blaginja, trajnostna rast, nizkooglični viri energije, alternative concepts, prosperity, sustainable growth, ow-carbon energy sources
Work type:Article
Typology:1.01 - Original Scientific Article
Geographic coverage:Slovenija;
Organization:FDV - Faculty of Social Sciences
EF - School of Economics and Business
Publication status:Published
Publication version:Version of Record
Publication date:24.12.2024
Year:2024
Number of pages:Str. 807-846
Numbering:Letn. 61, št. 4
PID:20.500.12556/RUL-167839 This link opens in a new window
UDC:33:620.92/.98
ISSN on article:0040-3598
DOI:10.51936/tip.61.4.807 This link opens in a new window
COBISS.SI-ID:226034691 This link opens in a new window
Publication date in RUL:14.03.2025
Views:406
Downloads:117
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Record is a part of a journal

Title:Teorija in praksa
Shortened title:Teor. praksa
Publisher:Fakulteta za sociologijo, politične vede in novinarstvo, Fakulteta za družbene vede
ISSN:0040-3598
COBISS.SI-ID:763652 This link opens in a new window

Secondary language

Language:English
Title:Analysis of alternative electricity concepts for Slovenia from the perspective of sustainable development
Abstract:
The article brings two main original contributions. The first contri bution is a quantitative definition of the volume of electricity required for both the needs of the country’s development dynamics, with which Slovenia would reach the current level of developed EU countries by 2050, and the needs of the energy trans ition. The analysis shows that the total consumption of electricity is expected to double between 2025 and 2050 in order to ensure an appropriate level of prosper ity and as part of the energy transition. The second contribution of the article lies in defining the optimal electricity system for Slovenia, one that would simultan eously assure the realisation of the two goals and satisfy key criteria. In the article, the suitability of three alternative electricity systems (NEPN OVE, NEPN OVE + nuclear, SAZU-GZS) is assessed from five aspects. We find the SAZU-GZS concept to be superior with respect to all five criteria; namely in terms of: (1) sufficient volumes of electricity; (2) the country’s strategic autonomy when it comes to elec tricity provision; (3) the investment required per unit of electricity produced being cut in half; (4) the lower wholesale price of electricity provision; and (5) meeting the decarbonisation goals of electricity production and consumption in Slovenia. Building on this, we conclude that the right combination of low-carbon sources (primarily nuclear and hydropower, and complementary RES sources of solar and wind) and energy storage is important for sustainable development, whereas en ergy concepts based solely on RES sources are technically unsustainable and/or require significantly bigger investments, and also do not lead to the realisation of climate goals regarding decarbonisation. These findings are consistent with the literature in this area.


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