Details

Analiza donosnosti državnih obveznic s pomočjo metode glavnih komponent za namene izvajanja denarne politike : magistrsko delo
ID Zupančič, Karmen (Author), ID Košir, Tomaž (Mentor) More about this mentor... This link opens in a new window

.pdfPDF - Presentation file, Download (7,48 MB)
MD5: 0BB6F804FB1E6974B9350B81D9400F30

Abstract
V nalogi analiziramo donosnosti državnih obveznic s pomočjo metode glavnih komponent in skušamo razumeti dinamike faktorjev, ki so prisotni na globalnih kapitalskih trgih. Naš cilj je poiskati skupne vzorce in odnose med različnimi državnimi obveznicami ter identificirati glavne globalne, regionalne in lokalne dejavnike, ki vplivajo na gibanje donosnosti v zadnjih desetih letih. Pri dekompoziciji donosov s pomočjo regresijskih modelov preučimo gonilne faktorje postpandemičnega obdobja zaostrene denarne politike in spreminjanje razmer v gospodarstvu na globalni ravni. Za namene izvajanja denarne politike v Evrosistemu in njene efektivne transmisije pa preučimo obdobja, ko so se trgi članic Evrosistema gibali povezano, obdobja, ko so se gibali bolj samosvoje, in pa čase, ko je bila povezanost omejena le na določeno regijo. V ta namen konstruiramo mero, ki to povezanost oziroma fragmentacijo pomaga meriti v odvisnosti od časa in z njo prisotnost sistemskega oziroma idiosinkratičnega tveganja.

Language:Slovenian
Keywords:transmisija denarne politike, metoda glavnih komponent, donosnosti državnih obveznic, regresijski modeli, globalni faktor, idiosinkratični učinek
Work type:Master's thesis/paper
Typology:2.09 - Master's Thesis
Organization:FMF - Faculty of Mathematics and Physics
Year:2024
PID:20.500.12556/RUL-165249 This link opens in a new window
UDC:519.2
COBISS.SI-ID:217396995 This link opens in a new window
Publication date in RUL:28.11.2024
Views:600
Downloads:233
Metadata:XML DC-XML DC-RDF
:
Copy citation
Share:Bookmark and Share

Secondary language

Language:English
Title:Analysing government bond yields using principal component analysis for the purpose of monetary policy implementation
Abstract:
In this thesis, we analyze government bond yields using the Principal Component Analysis (PCA) method and aim to understand the dynamics of factors present in global capital markets. Our goal is to identify common patterns and relationships between different government bonds and to pinpoint the main global, regional, and local factors that influence yield movements over the past ten years. Through the decomposition of yields using regression models, we examine the driving factors of the post-pandemic period characterized by tightened monetary policy and changing economic conditions on a global scale. For the purpose of implementing monetary policy in the Eurosystem and ensuring its effective transmission, we also examine periods when the markets of Eurosystem member states moved in unison, periods when they moved more independently, and times when the connection was limited to a specific region. To this end, we construct a measure that helps track this connectivity or fragmentation over time and assess the presence of systemic or idiosyncratic risk.

Keywords:monetary policy transmission, PCA, yields of government bonds, regression models, global factor, idiosyncratic factor

Similar documents

Similar works from RUL:
Similar works from other Slovenian collections:

Back