Remaining useful life prognostics during boiling-induced surface degradation

Berce, Jure (author), Arhar, Klara (author), Može, Matic (author), Zupančič, Matevž (author), Golobič, Iztok (author)

After sustaining long-term nucleate boiling, any surface is prone to changes over time, which signifies an important operational characteristic for reliable thermal management; however, recent research of this topic is extremely scarce. In this work, we first present long-term pool boiling experiments on samples of different surface topography and morphology in de-ionized water and in an aqueous salt solution. We show the changes induced by vigorous bubble nucleation over the course of several hundred hours of operation, discussing the underlying degradation phenomena. Following this, we present an adaptive data-driven prognostic approach, capable of estimating the remaining useful life (RUL) of a boiling surface in real time, based on change of surface temperature. The method consists of (i) a Kalman filter to identify the degradation drift model and (ii) a Monte Carlo simulation to propagate the drift to the terminal threshold, obtaining a distribution of predicted RUL values. Its practical applicability, validated on experimental results, is reinforced by its advantageous features of (i) prognostic performance not depending on the boiling surface or its degradation mechanisms, (ii) low computational demand and (iii) numerous options for individual tuning and extensions.

• Language: English
• Keywords: pool boiling, degradation, prognostics, remaining useful life, surface engineering
• Work type: Article
• Typology: 1.08 - Published Scientific Conference Contribution
• Organization: FS - Faculty of Mechanical Engineering
• Publication status: Published
• Publication version: Version of Record
• Year: 2024
• Number of pages: 6 str.
• Numbering: Vol. 2766, art. 012125
• PID: 20.500.12556/RUL-158643
• UDC: 544.7:66.02
• ISSN on article: 1742-6596
• DOI: 10.1088/1742-6596/2766/1/012125
• COBISS.SI-ID: 199260419
• Publication date in RUL: 18.06.2024

Record is a part of a proceedings

• Title: Eurotherm 2024
• COBISS.SI-ID: 197654787

Record is a part of a journal

• Title: Journal of physics : Conference series
• Publisher: Institute of Physics Publishing
• ISSN: 1742-6596
• COBISS.SI-ID: 2035044

Licences

• License: CC BY 4.0, Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
• Link: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
• Description: This is the standard Creative Commons license that gives others maximum freedom to do what they want with the work as long as they credit the author.

Secondary language

• Language: Slovenian
• Keywords: mehurčkasto vrenje, degradacija, prognostika, uporabna življenjska doba, inženiring površin