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Bias in the estimation of seismic risk for municipal building stocks due to limited data
ID Babič, Anže (Author), ID Žižmond, Jure (Author), ID Dolšek, Matjaž (Author)

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Abstract
This study investigated the effect of the building data knowledge level on seismic risk estimation for municipal building stocks, focusing on identifying the characteristics that influence loss estimation bias. Fifteen municipalities in two Slovenian regions were analysed using twelve building data knowledge levels, defined by combining different knowledge levels about building location and floor area. The knowledge levels ranged from those using data aggregated at the municipality level to those using building-specific data. The bias was quantified as the log residual between the expected annual losses estimated for the given knowledge level and the base-case level, characterised by building-specific data. The results indicate that loss estimation bias is affected by both the building location and floor-area knowledge levels. The data on building density distribution across the municipality and building-class-specific floor areas are sufficient for estimating loss with low bias with respect to the base-case level. The effect of potential data improvement on bias reduction can be assessed using building stock homogeneity and hazard variation indexes determined from readily available data. Further research is needed to explore loss estimation bias for building data knowledge levels not considered in this study and generalise the concepts to other regions and building classifications.

Language:English
Keywords:seismic risk, loss estimation, bias, building data knowledge level, municipal building stock, limited data, earthquakes
Work type:Article
Typology:1.01 - Original Scientific Article
Organization:FGG - Faculty of Civil and Geodetic Engineering
Publication status:Published
Publication version:Author Accepted Manuscript
Year:2023
Number of pages:21 str.
Numbering:Vol. 13, iss. 9, art. 2245
PID:20.500.12556/RUL-151785 This link opens in a new window
UDC:624.042.7
ISSN on article:2075-5309
DOI:10.3390/buildings13092245 This link opens in a new window
COBISS.SI-ID:164050179 This link opens in a new window
Publication date in RUL:20.10.2023
Views:970
Downloads:59
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Record is a part of a journal

Title:Buildings
Shortened title:Buildings
Publisher:Molecular Diversity Preservation International
ISSN:2075-5309
COBISS.SI-ID:1024478292 This link opens in a new window

Licences

License:CC BY 4.0, Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
Link:http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Description:This is the standard Creative Commons license that gives others maximum freedom to do what they want with the work as long as they credit the author.

Secondary language

Language:Slovenian
Keywords:potresno tveganje, ocena izgub, nivo poznavanja podatkov o stavbah, občinski stavbni fond, omejeni podatki

Projects

Funder:ARRS - Slovenian Research Agency
Project number:P2-0185
Name:Potresno inženirstvo

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