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Matematika športnih stav : delo diplomskega seminarja
ID Čretnik, Urban (Author), ID Bernik, Janez (Mentor) More about this mentor... This link opens in a new window, ID Šega, Gregor (Comentor)

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Abstract
Opis različnih poslovnih modelov stavnic: Kako stavniške družbe ustvarjajo trg in dobiček ter kdaj se na trgu pojavijo arbitražne priložnosti. Opis stavniških produktov. V nadaljevanju bom razložil Kelly-jev kriterij, model linearne regresije ter preizkušanje domnev na linearnem modelu. Na vzorcu košarkaških tekem bom sestavil regresijsko funkcijo in na njenih koeficientih izvedel statistične teste. Nato bom model preizkusil v praksi in predstavil gibanje premoženja.

Language:Slovenian
Keywords:Poslovanje stavnic, ponudba stavnic, Kelly-jev kriterij, linearna regresija, statistični testi, strategija investiranja
Work type:Final seminar paper
Typology:2.11 - Undergraduate Thesis
Organization:FMF - Faculty of Mathematics and Physics
Year:2023
PID:20.500.12556/RUL-148433 This link opens in a new window
UDC:519.2
COBISS.SI-ID:162048259 This link opens in a new window
Publication date in RUL:23.08.2023
Views:752
Downloads:99
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Secondary language

Language:English
Title:Mathematics of sports betting
Abstract:
Description of various betting business models: How betting companies create a market and profit, and when arbitrage opportunities arise in the market. Description of betting products. In the following, I will explain the Kelly criterion, linear regression model, and hypothesis testing on a linear model. Using a sample of basketball games, I will construct a regression function and conduct statistical tests on its coefficients. I will then test the model in practice and present the movement of assets.

Keywords:Betting business, betting offerings, Kelly criterion, linear regression, statistical tests, investment strategy

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