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The impact of climate change on urban thermal environment dynamics
ID
Žiberna, Igor
(
Author
),
ID
Pipenbaher, Nataša
(
Author
),
ID
Donša, Daša
(
Author
),
ID
Škornik, Sonja
(
Author
),
ID
Kaligarič, Mitja
(
Author
),
ID
Kajfež-Bogataj, Lučka
(
Author
),
ID
Črepinšek, Zalika
(
Author
),
ID
Grujić, Veno Jaša
(
Author
),
ID
Ivajnšič, Danijel
(
Author
)
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MD5: 61305874FBBAE58A04686E9BD61E5845
URL - Source URL, Visit
https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/9/1159
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Abstract
The human population is increasing. The ongoing urbanization process, in conjunction with climate change, is causing larger environmental footprints. Consequently, quality of life in urban systems worldwide is under immense pressure. Here, the seasonal characteristics of Maribor's urban thermal environment were studied from the perspectives of surface urban heat island (SUHI) and urban heat island (UHI) A remote sensing thermal imagery time series and in-situ measurements (stationary and mobile) were combined with select geospatial predictor variables to model this atmospheric phenomenon in its most intensive season (summer). Finally, CMIP6 climate change scenarios and models were considered, to predict future UHI intensity. Results indicate that Maribor's UHI intensity maximum shifted from winter to spring and summer. The implemented generalized additive model (GAM) underestimates UHI intensity in some built-up parts of the study area and overestimates UHI intensity in green vegetated areas. However, by the end of the century, UHI magnitude could increase by more than 60% in the southern industrial part of the city. Such studies are of particular concern, in regards to the increasing frequency of heat waves due to climate change, which further increases the (already present) heat stress in cities across the globe.
Language:
English
Keywords:
urbanization
,
urban heat island
,
summer heat stress
,
GAM
,
CMIP6
,
UHI
Work type:
Article
Typology:
1.01 - Original Scientific Article
Organization:
BF - Biotechnical Faculty
Publication status:
Published
Publication version:
Version of Record
Year:
2021
Number of pages:
14 str.
Numbering:
Vol. 12, iss. 9, art. 1159
PID:
20.500.12556/RUL-136109
UDC:
502.3:504.7:502.5:551.58
ISSN on article:
2073-4433
DOI:
10.3390/atmos12091159
COBISS.SI-ID:
75887619
Publication date in RUL:
13.04.2022
Views:
1249
Downloads:
107
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Record is a part of a journal
Title:
Atmosphere
Shortened title:
Atmosphere
Publisher:
MDPI
ISSN:
2073-4433
COBISS.SI-ID:
522992153
Licences
License:
CC BY 4.0, Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International
Link:
http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
Description:
This is the standard Creative Commons license that gives others maximum freedom to do what they want with the work as long as they credit the author.
Licensing start date:
09.09.2021
Secondary language
Language:
Slovenian
Keywords:
urbanizacija
,
mestni toplotni otoki
,
poletni vročinski stres
,
GAM
,
CMIP6
Projects
Funder:
ARRS - Slovenian Research Agency
Project number:
P6-0372
Name:
Slovenska identiteta in kulturna zavest v jezikovno in etnično stičnih prostorih v preteklosti in sedanjosti
Funder:
ARRS - Slovenian Research Agency
Project number:
J7-1822
Name:
Preprečevanje toplotnega stresa v urbanih sistemih v luči podnebnih sprememb
Funder:
Other - Other funder or multiple funders
Funding programme:
Republic of Slovenia, Ministry of Education, Science and Sport
Name:
Development of Research Infrastructure for the International Competitiveness of the Slovenian RRI Space
Acronym:
RI-SI-LifeWatch
Funder:
EC - European Commission
Funding programme:
European Regional Development Fund
Name:
Development of Research Infrastructure for the International Competitiveness of the Slovenian RRI Space
Acronym:
RI-SI-LifeWatch
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