The thesis discusses the development of a methodology for assessing the impact of different domestic space heating electrification scenarios on the operating conditions in the distribution network. The method is based on Monte Carlo simulations, taking into account the stochasticity of location and power demand of the deployed heat pumps as well as the values of influential meteorological variables. The power demand of heat pumps is modelled based on validated semiempirical models of heat pumps coupled with second order RC models of archetypal single-dwelling buildings for Slovenia. The methodology is tested on a real section of a distribution network, taking into account different electrification scenarios of domestic space heating. By analyzing the impact on the operating conditions in the distribution network, it has been proven that with proper configuration and management heat pumps can help stabilize the power system.
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