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Projektni potresni parametri za enote industrijskih objektov z upoštevanjem zahtevanega odziva grajenega okolja : doktorska disertacija
ID Celano, Francesca (Author), ID Dolšek, Matjaž (Mentor) More about this mentor... This link opens in a new window

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Abstract
V prvem delu doktorske disertacije je predstavljen odločitveni model za preverjanje potresne zmogljivosti enote industrijskega obrata na ciljno potresno tveganje. Model obsega oceno potresnih zahtev pri projektnem potresu in oceno potresne kapacitete obravnavane enote, ki preko varnostnega faktorja implicitno zagotavlja želeno potresno zmogljivost enote z vnaprej določenim ciljnim (sprejemljivim) tveganjem. Predlagani odločitveni model je podoben modelu za preverjanje potresne zmogljivosti objektov kot ga določa standard. Zato je že poznan inženirjem, vendar ne rešuje problema opredelitve ciljnega tveganja za enote industrijskega obrata. Zaradi tega je treba projektne potresne parametre enot industrijskega obrata ovrednotiti z upoštevanjem sprejemljivega tveganja celotnega industrijsko-urbanega območja, kot je predstavljeno v drugem delu disertacije. Predlagana metodologija vključuje pet procesov: (1) analiza smrtnosti z upoštevanjem domino učinkov (npr. požari, eksplozije, širjenje strupenih snovi); (2) analiza populacije za simulacijo prostorske in časovne spremenljivosti ljudi na obravnavanem območju; (3) analiza potresne nevarnosti obravnavanega območja; (4) opredelitev ciljnega tveganja z letnim številom smrtnih žrtev in (5) iterativno prilagajanje ciljne funkcije ranljivosti enot industrijskega obrata. Zadnji proces vključuje razčlenitev tveganja za izgubo življenj, ki zagotavlja koristne informacije o najbolj kritičnih enotah obravnavanega sistema. Zmogljivost novega okvira za načrtovanje na ciljno tveganje je prikazana na več primerih. Izkaže se, da lahko domino učinki pomembno vplivajo na tveganje za izgubo življenj in da se lahko ciljna potresna ranljivost enot industrijskega obrata znatno razlikuje, če je cilj pri načrtovanju enot opredeljen s tveganjem za izgubo življenj na celotnem industrijsko-urbanem območju.

Language:Slovenian
Keywords:potresno tveganje, smrtno tveganje, domino učinki številnih nevarnosti, industrijski obrati, industrijsko-urbana območja, dopustno tveganje, načrtovanje na ciljno tveganje, simulacije Monte Carlo, modeli populacije, ciljne krivulje ranljivosti.
Work type:Doctoral dissertation
Typology:2.08 - Doctoral Dissertation
Organization:FGG - Faculty of Civil and Geodetic Engineering
Publisher:[F. Celano]
Year:2020
PID:20.500.12556/RUL-124068 This link opens in a new window
UDC:624.042.7:725(043)
COBISS.SI-ID:45793795 This link opens in a new window
Publication date in RUL:24.12.2020
Views:1714
Downloads:178
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Secondary language

Language:English
Title:Seismic Design Parameters for the Units of Industrial Facilities Considering the Performance Requirements of Built Environment : Doctoral dissertation
Abstract:
In the first part of this thesis, a risk-targeted decision model for the verification of the seismic performance of a single industrial unit is presented. It includes the assessment of the seismic demand for a design earthquake and the seismic capacity, which is reduced by a risk-targeted safety factor. Such a safety factor implicitly guarantees the desired performance of the unit with a predefined target (acceptable) risk. The proposed risk-targeted decision model is similar to the code-based approach, which is familiar to engineers. However, it does not solve the issue of the definition of target risk for the units of an industrial facility. For this reason, the seismic design parameters for the units of an industrial facility should be evaluated for a tolerable risk considering the entire industrialised urban area, as introduced in the second part of the thesis. The proposed methodology comprises five processes: (1) fatality analysis with consideration of domino effects (e.g. fires, explosions, toxic dispersions); (2) population analysis to simulate the spatial and temporal variability of the distribution of people in the area; (3) seismic hazard analysis for the location; (4) definition of the tolerable risk in terms of the annual number of fatalities and (5) iterative adjustment of target fragility function of the industrial units. The last process comprises the disaggregation of the fatality risk, which provides useful information about the most critical units. The capability of the new framework for the risk-targeted design of units of an industrial facility is demonstrated by means of examples. It is shown that the domino effects can have a significant impact on the fatality risk. Moreover, the target seismic fragility functions of industrial units can vary significantly if the performance objective is defined by the fatality risk of the entire industrialised urban area.

Keywords:seismic risk, fatality risk, multi-hazard domino effects, industrial facilities, industrialised urban areas, tolerable risk, risk-targeted design, Monte Carlo simulations, population models, target fragility functions.

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