Managerske napovedi in dejanski učinki pandemije covid-19 na slovenska podjetja

Bešter, Janez (author)

Napovedovanje poslovnih rezultatov podjetij je zahtevno že v običajnih razmerah poslovanja, povečana kompleksnost in vsestranska negotovost, ki jo je prinesla pandemija COVID-19, pa sta to nalogo managerjev dodatno otežili. V članku primerjamo napovedi managerjev 154 slovenskih podjetij, ki smo jih anketirali spomladi 2020 ob zaključku prvega vala epidemije, z dejanskimi poslovnimi rezultati teh podjetij v letih 2019, 2020 in 2021. Ugotavljamo, da med poslovnimi rezultati podjetij v letu pred pandemijo ter anketnimi napovedmi managerjev ni statistično značilnih povezav, da pa so bili managerji uspešni v napovedovanju učinkov pandemije na njihove poslovne rezultate v letih 2020 in 2021.

• Language: Slovenian
• Keywords: podjetja, management, napovedi, učinek, pandemija, finance, indikatorji, Covid-19
• Work type: Article
• Typology: 1.01 - Original Scientific Article
• Organization: FDV - Faculty of Social Sciences; FE - Faculty of Electrical Engineering
• Publication status: Published
• Publication version: Version of Record
• Year: 2023
• Number of pages: Str. 392–412, 570
• Numbering: Letn. 60, št. 3
• PID: 20.500.12556/RUL-152388
• UDC: [005.521:334.7]:[616.98-036.21:578.834](497.4)«2020/2021«
• ISSN on article: 0040-3598
• DOI: 10.51936/tip.60.3.392
• COBISS.SI-ID: 171161603
• Publication date in RUL: 23.11.2023

Record is a part of a journal

• Title: Teorija in praksa : revija za družbena vprašanja
• Shortened title: Teor. praksa
• Publisher: Fakulteta za družbene vede
• ISSN: 0040-3598
• COBISS.SI-ID: 763652

Licences

• License: CC BY-NC-ND 4.0, Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International
• Link: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
• Description: The most restrictive Creative Commons license. This only allows people to download and share the work for no commercial gain and for no other purposes.

Secondary language

• Language: English
• Title: Managerial forecasts and actual effects of the covid-19 pandemic on Slovenian companies

Abstract

Predicting the financial performance of companies is a challenging task even in normal business circumstances, with the uncertainties brought about by COVID-19 pandemic having further added to this challenge. In this article, we examine the responses of managers from 154 Slovenian companies to a survey taken in the spring of 2020 at the end of the first pandemic wave, and compare them to their actual financial performance for the years 2019, 2020 and 2021. Our findings show no significant links between the pre-pandemic financial performance and management survey predictions. Still, managers accurately predicted the pandemic’s impact on the financial performance of their companies in 2020 and 2021.

• Keywords: companies, management, predictions, effects, pandemic, finance, indicators, Covid-19