20.500.12556/RUL-184238 Political polarization and compromise in secession politics theory note Why do some secession movements lead to violent conflict, others are resolved through policy concessions, while still others end in peaceful separation? Existing theories focused on information asymmetries or commitment prob- lems cannot fully explain this variation in outcomes. We propose a bargaining theory of secession incorporat- ing three critical factors: policy polarization, credible exit, and resource rents. We demonstrate that secessions dif- fer from standard bargaining problems because successful separation creates two independent policy-setting enti- ties. Our analysis reveals that, even with complete information, policy differ ences alone can trigger conflict when polarization exceeds critical thresholds. Equally important, we identify conditions where peaceful partition becomes rational. The usefulness of this framework is demonstrated through comparative analysis of cases, including Su- dan, Czechoslovakia, and Panama. By explaining compromise, peaceful separation, and violent secession within a unified model, this research advances our theoretical understanding of when political unions endure or dissolve. bargaining polarization contest true false true Angleški jezik Ni določen Članek v reviji 2026-07-02 10:45:27 2026-07-02 10:45:35 2026-07-03 04:23:34 0000-00-00 00:00:00 2026 0 0 Str. 1-10 iss. 3 Vol. 70 Sep. 2026 0000-00-00 Zaloznikova Objavljeno NiDoloceno 0000-00-00 0000-00-00 2026-07-01 32:329.273 0020-8833 10.1093/isq/sqag025 283380483 https://academic.oup.com/isq/article/70/3/sqag025/8722891 1 49b52900-75f2-11f1-9b0d-0050569b8976 https://repozitorij.uni-lj.si/Dokument.php?lang=slv&id=236848 RAZ_Ramsay_Kristopher_W._2026.pdf RAZ_Ramsay_Kristopher_W._2026.pdf 1 C85D9097FE5FF91E307C780D65332E67 ee4ecf27636254a066c336950fdc882fec9d5812e8e021289cbbe0b81543bb29 95a26842-75f2-11f1-9b0d-0050569b8976 https://repozitorij.uni-lj.si/Dokument.php?lang=slv&id=236849 Fakulteta za družbene vede 0 0 0