20.500.12556/RUL-182920 Dosedanji trendi in podnebne projekcije agroklimatskih kazalnikov za Slovenijo do konca 21. stoletja raziskovalni podatki, obravnavani v doktorskem delu Recent trends and climate projections of agroclimatic indices for the 21st century in Slovenia research data underlying the doctoral dissertation Raziskovalni podatki so bili zbrani in ustvarjeni v okviru raziskav doktorske disertacije Dosedanji trendi in podnebne projekcije agroklimatskih kazalnikov za Slovenijo do konca 21. stoletja. V doktorski disertaciji so bili pripravljen nabor agroklimatskih kazalnikov za predstavitev vpliva podnebnih pogojev na rast pšenice in koruze, kazalnik tveganja za pojav škodljivca Spodoptera frugiperda (J. E. Smith) in kazalnik tveganja za pojav pozebe pri jablani (Malus domestica Borkh.), češnji (Prunus avium L.) ter vinski trti (Vitis vinifera L.). Rezultati so pokazali, da se bo tveganje za pojav spomladanske pozebe pri jablani, češnji in vinski trti do konca stoletja povečevalo, prav tako tveganje za pojav škodljivca, ki je v trenutnem podnebju nizko. Analiza glavnih komponent kazalnikov za pšenico (Triticum aestivum L.) in koruzo (Zea mays L.) je pokazala, da je za koruzo glavni omejujoči dejavnik vročinski stres, pri pšenici pa je bila izračunana pozitivna korelacija s prezimovalnimi razmerami. Za obe poljščini smo prav tako izračunali pozitivno povezavo z veliko količino padavin. Z vidika temperaturnih pogojev rezultati podnebnih projekcij za 21. stoletje nakazujejo na podaljševanje rastne dobe, povečevanje pogostosti pogojev vročinskega stresa pri pšenici in koruzi, pogojev nočnega vročinskega stresa in visoke vlage ter pogojev s toplejšo in daljšo rastno dobo, pri čemer je trend bolj izrazit v primeru RCP8.5. Prav tako projekcije do konca stoletja nakazujejo na omiljevanje prezimovalnih razmer ter zmerno povečevanje pogostosti pogojev z veliko količino padavin. The research data were collected and generated as part of the research for the doctoral dissertation Recent trends and climate projections of agroclimatic indices for the 21st century in Slovenia. In this doctoral dissertation, a set of agroclimatic indicators was developed to represent the impact of climatic conditions on the growth of wheat and maize. Additionally, an indicator for the occurrence of the pest Spodoptera frugiperda (J. E. Smith) was developed, along with an agroclimatic indicator of frost occurrence in regards to apple (Malus domestica Borkh.), sweet cherry trees (Prunus avium L.) and grapevines (Vitis vinifera L.). The latter showed that the risk of spring frost in apple, cherry, and grapevine will continue to increase by the end of the century, as will the risk of pest occurrence, which is currently low under current climate conditions. A principal component analysis of indicators for wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) and maize (Zea mays L.) showed that heat stress is the main limiting factor for maize, while a positive correlation with overwintering conditions was calculated for wheat. For both crops, a positive correlation with high precipitation conditions was also calculated. The results of climate projections for the 21st century indicate a lengthening of the growing season, an increase in the frequency of heat stress conditions for wheat and maize, nighttime heat stress and high humidity, and more frequent conditions with a warmer and longer growing season, with the trend being more pronounced under RCP8.5. Projections through the end of the century also indicate a mildening of winter conditions and a moderate increase in the frequency of conditions with high precipitation. agroklimatski kazalniki podnebne projekcije vročinski stres rastlin spomladanska pozeba tujerodni škodljivci metoda glavnih komponent metoda Maksimalne entropije rastlinska pridelava agroclimatic indicators climate projections plant heat stress spring frost invasive pests principal component analysis Maximum entropy method plant production true false false Slovenski jezik Angleški jezik Ljubljana, Slovenija Od/From 2022-01-15 do/to 2025-04-09 Neznano 2026-05-28 10:24:06 2026-05-28 21:23:50 2026-05-29 04:37:02 0000-00-00 00:00:00 2026 0 0 0000-00-00 NiDoloceno NiDoloceno NiDoloceno 0000-00-00 0000-00-00 0000-00-00 PREBERI_ME.txt PREBERI_ME.txt PREBERI ME 1 E761FB59723DB40B3E9F820CB2BED076 bf349f28d475d4763fb8147a1c95b1e174d1f72a83e40f6beb7bd39fa73a74ad 5db74aa7-5a6e-11f1-b0ab-0050569b8976 https://repozitorij.uni-lj.si/Dokument.php?lang=slv&id=234589 README.txt README.txt README 1 FB483C8AD9003C0C025DB4A72594CFD2 e9b55670689a6e6a247964332ee892813f953ba9e26b2ae649cd78b6fcce0fc1 5dde1dc0-5a6e-11f1-b0ab-0050569b8976 https://repozitorij.uni-lj.si/Dokument.php?lang=slv&id=234590 skodljivci_maxent-v1.zip skodljivci_maxent-v1.zip Škodljivci 1 0B865F565E3876BA2E8E558418D0682F ce54da93b04c6512ba52737026f5ee206d1e5ece5251ecd40dea76dd603d8209 d2ce1635-5a6e-11f1-b0ab-0050569b8976 https://repozitorij.uni-lj.si/Dokument.php?lang=slv&id=234591 variabilnost_koruze_in_psenice-v2026-05-22.zip variabilnost_koruze_in_psenice-v2026-05-22.zip Variabilnost koruze in pšenice 1 F2F3F1793275AA9AF8C358993E46DAD9 9cd9b9f9d5394f36939720ad642a560f4d9b06b57eff8fe16a8a4d0f568470e7 7c08b7f2-5a6f-11f1-b0ab-0050569b8976 https://repozitorij.uni-lj.si/Dokument.php?lang=slv&id=234592 pozeba-v1.zip pozeba-v1.zip Pozeba 1 E41C4B17B05B418ADAB2CBE183CD3BB1 a41cb5347d2110b0aaa978d95ee8c4aefe8552b30537b17f949b17082269f6c3 965564b6-5a6f-11f1-b0ab-0050569b8976 https://repozitorij.uni-lj.si/Dokument.php?lang=slv&id=234593 Biotehniška fakulteta Sinteza Združevanje Simulacija 0 0 0