20.500.12556/RUL-180680 The reliability of basketball shooting tests with binary outcomes This paper addresses distinct questions related to the reliability of basketball shooting tests: (i) how to appropriately model data from tests with binary outcomes, (ii) how many shots are needed for the tests to be reliable, and (iii) can additional information from shot trajectories (shot hit location and entry angle) improve the reliability of the shooting tests? We designed a Bayesian statistical model that takes into account the binary nature of the outcomes and can be used to model test data for multiple individuals simultaneously. We demonstrated the utility of our approach with a simulation study and on a real-world example with 27 basketball players and 7309 shots across 4 different shooting tests. Results showed the practical importance of modelling data as binary and the relatively large sample sizes required for the tests to be reliable. We also showed that additional information from shot trajectories provides valuable insights into an individual’s shooting, but we were unable to achieve a meaningful improvement in the estimation of shooting ability. sport basketball shot trajectory Bayesian statistics hierarchical modelling Rao-Blackwellization empirical study simulation study šport košarka pot strela Bayesova statistika hierarhično modeliranje Rao zatemnitev empirična študija simulacijska študija mišice športne poškodbe true false true Angleški jezik Slovenski jezik Članek v reviji 2026-03-13 12:43:39 2026-04-16 14:18:47 2026-07-01 03:59:39 0000-00-00 00:00:00 2024 0 0 Str. 2352–2360 no. 24 Vol. 42 2024 0000-00-00 PostprintKoncna Objavljeno NiDoloceno 0000-00-00 0000-00-00 0000-00-00 2025-11-24 796.323 1466-447X 10.1080/02640414.2024.2430914 216737795 uvod_basketball_paper_2024_2_JSS-accepted.pdf uvod_basketball_paper_2024_2_JSS-accepted.pdf 1 9802AF815827E525D20EAA5DED8E14DA df9a4727cb332c4051d9714d6f5dc9a3c01a890a27741678ff21f8585e753110 f40ef650-745b-11f1-9b0d-0050569b8976 https://repozitorij.uni-lj.si/Dokument.php?lang=slv&id=236645 https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/02640414.2024.2430914 0 d7c01581-3991-11f1-b0ab-0050569b8976 https://repozitorij.uni-lj.si/Dokument.php?lang=slv&id=232584 Fakulteta za računalništvo in informatiko Fakulteta za šport 0 0 0