20.500.12556/RUL-131833 Simulating historical earthquakes in existing cities for fostering design of resilient and sustainable communities the Ljubljana case The seismic exposure of urban areas today is much higher than centuries ago. The 2020 Zagreb earthquake demonstrated that European cities are vulnerable even to moderate earthquakes, a fact that has been known to earthquake-engineering experts for decades. However, alerting decision-makers to the seismic risk issue is very challenging, even when they are aware of historical earthquakes that caused natural catastrophes in the areas of their jurisdiction. To help solve the issue, we introduce a scenario-based risk assessment methodology and demonstrate the consequences of the 1895 Ljubljana earthquake on the existing building stock. We show that a 6.2 magnitude earthquake with an epicentre 5 km north of Ljubljana would cause many deaths and severe damage to the building stock, which would likely lead to direct economic losses higher than 15% of the GDP of the Republic of Slovenia. Such an event would be catastrophic not only for the community directly affected by the earthquake but for the entire country. We have disseminated this information over the course of a year together in addition to formulating a plan for enhancing the community seismic resilience in Slovenia. Hopefully, local decision-makers will act according to their jurisdiction in Slovenia and persuade decision-makers across Europe to update the built environment renovation policy at the European level. earthquakes scenario-based risk assessment building stock ground-motion model seismic fragility resilience potresi ocena tveganja na osnovi scenarija stavbni fond model gibanja tal potresna ranljivost odpornost true false true Angleški jezik Slovenski jezik Članek v reviji 2021-10-04 12:50:35 2021-10-04 12:50:35 2022-09-10 04:14:04 0000-00-00 00:00:00 2021 0 0 21 str. iss. 14, art. 7624 Vol. 13 2021 0000-00-00 Zaloznikova Objavljeno NiDoloceno 0000-00-00 0000-00-00 0000-00-00 624.042.7 2071-1050 10.3390/su13147624 70609923 RAZ_Babic_Anze_2021.pdf RAZ_Babic_Anze_2021.pdf 1 6B849EFE9F6EC0B8E3D6A3EA2D248DF1 132d2ac75d342c0dbd22112af32d4d984ccf7917aa5dd81f6ae4bfbd9ad2f7a5 492d3044-b18d-11ec-8aca-00155dcfd717 https://repozitorij.uni-lj.si/Dokument.php?lang=slv&id=155233 https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/14/7624 1 9d2bdf71-2500-11ec-a523-00155dcfd717 https://repozitorij.uni-lj.si/Dokument.php?lang=slv&id=149247 Fakulteta za gradbeništvo in geodezijo 0 0 0